
The Yankee's vaunted youth movement became real the day
Joba Chamberlain took the mound in pinstripes and
dominated. We all want to believe that the ever-growing list of hyped prospects will step right in and bring the Bombers back to the promised land.
Spring training is on the horizon, dawn of a new season, maybe it's time to take a realistic look at expectations and tone down the
unbridled optimism. Adjusting the mind-set now will make for an easier transition into what figures to be a challenging season.
Joe
Girardi will have his hands full, trying to juggle unproven, hyped rookies with faded veterans and a variety of 2ND
tier guys. He inherits a flawed roster and is expected to win immediately-- not a good place to be.
Let's focus on the flaws: 1)
Starting Rotation-- Wang and
Pettitte are known commodities reliable and durable, the rest of the rotation will be anchored by talented potential on a restrictive pitch-count (Hughes, Chamberlain and Kennedy) throw in a faded veteran (
Mussina) and support guys (
Karstens,
Rasner.) A rotation with long-term potential but questionable for an organization with short-term championship aspirations. Tom
Verducci of
SI.Com, in an article titled: "Starting point:
stability" quantifies the
vital nature of a durable rotation. Here's the bottom line: " Without Santana, New York must plan for rotation instability in 2008. It can be done, but the odds begin to work against a team the more second-
tier starters it has to plug in."
Verducci's article highlights the lack of stability in the Yankee rotation the last 4 years and the price the team payed
competitively. It is unrealistic to expect a significant improvement in this key area while rookies get on the job training. 2)
Bullpen-- The shaky rotation starts to look down right scary when we consider the dubious makeup of the
Joba-less bullpen. The
Great Rivera is at a stage in his career when a one inning save is the job description. The rookies in the rotation will not be asked to pitch deep into games--their long-term value is too important to subject them to undue risk. The result is
Farnsworth, Hawkins and a long list of hopefuls are the bridge to victory (this is viable if the potent offense can score touchdowns.) Ideally, a few step up, but history tells us it's unlikely--there go those pesky odds again.
Competing for a ring without a durable, proven starting rotation supported by a dubious bullpen is a recipe for disaster. The Yank's will have to resort to
unconventional methods and hope they stay healthy (for a change.) Yankee fans are not used to being underdogs but this should be a good thing. Enjoy the
exuberance of the kids while they learn the ropes. Expect the unexpected as consistency is not a strong-point of young players. Keep the expectations real and don't forget the
New Years resolution.